BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Western Conn St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 135 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   54.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    W    54.77  35  31    3 152 (  2-  8) Hartwick               -0.00      4.00                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L    51.16  13  28    3  89 (  3-  7) Union NY               -3.62    -11.38                      
  3 09/17/2016 Home    L *  39.90  19  27    3 162 (  6-  4) Plymouth St           -14.87      6.87                      
  4 09/24/2016 Away    L *  54.51  17  23    3 112 (  8-  3) Framingham St          -0.27     -5.73                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    L *  52.13  14  20    3 107 (  8-  3) Bridgewater St MA      -2.64     -3.36                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    W *  46.84  37  35    3 190 (  4-  6) Mass Maritime          -7.94      9.94                      
  7 10/15/2016 Away    L *  44.89  14  17    3 173 (  5-  5) Fitchburg St           -9.88      6.88                      
  8 10/22/2016 Home    W *  65.20  40  13    3 207 (  3-  7) Worcester St           10.43     16.57                      
  9 10/29/2016 Home    W *  63.98  35  22    3 149 (  5-  5) UMass-Dartmouth         9.21      3.79                      
 10 11/11/2016 Away    W *  74.36  42   7    3 211 (  2-  8) Westfield St           19.59     15.41                      
      Averages              54.77  26.6 22.3

Best game:   74.36 = 35 point win over Westfield St
Worst game:  39.90 = 8 point loss to Plymouth St
Team stdev:  10.43